"When
I see statistics still pointing toward an endemic, I am honestly relieved we
are not in an epidemic anymore." – HIV Prevention Planning Council (HPPC) member
Tom Kennedy
At last week’s
monthly HPPC meeting, SF DPH officials presented estimated HIV stats and survey
results related to serosorting practices – where men have sex only with men of
the same status.
I’m tucked away in my small town in Indiana, so I’m unaware of the tone and
timbre in which the following data was laid out by the DPH. Bay Area Reporter Matt Bajko was there, however,
and has a pretty candid follow-up
piece in today’s paper about the new info and the HPPC's reaction to the stats:
San Francisco health officials set for
themselves a fairly high mark five years ago in their fight against HIV: reduce
new infections among gay and bi men by 50 percent by 2008.
Based on
the latest estimates for new HIV infection rates in San Francisco, the city failed to reach its
goal. It did achieve a roughly 10 percent reduction in HIV rates and has
downgraded classifying its HIV epidemic to now being endemic, meaning rates are
remaining flat from year to year.
. . .
AIDS
activist Michael Petrelis said the city would not achieve its 50 percent target
until health officials directly address gay men and promote such safe sex
strategies as serosorting – only having sex with a person of the same HIV
status – and sero-adaptation, determining what sort of sexual behavior to engage
in based on the HIV status of one's sexual partner.
"If
they want that 50 percent reduction, they have to do more than hold weekday
meetings downtown instead of the Castro," he said. "I would like the
sexually active gay male community to receive positive (no pun intended) reinforcement for our smart, safe sex
practices."
Here are three slides from the DPH’s presentation that I find to be the most
significant:
The first
shows that the number of new infections for all populations remain stable.
The second slide shows how many HIV-positive men have a sero-adaption strategy
for not spreading HIV.
The final
slide presents data on how many gays plan to use the strategy in their sex
lives.
Extrapolate from this what you will and interpret them however you wish. I wish the numbers were better if the HPPC and DPH are thinking sero-adaptation will continue to lower the number of HIV cases in SF.
H/T: InstaPundit